Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 3 – May 2 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

48%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1337

MLB

Top Over

William Contreras

H • +2.0 • 96

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Nick Gonzales

H • +0.8 • 30

Top 1

William Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

William Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Pete Crow-armstrong

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dustin Harris	3/3	HOU @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	ATL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Beck	3/3	ATL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Vierling ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mj Melendez	3/3	NYM @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ MIA	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	HOU @ BOS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	AZ @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ WSH	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Barrosa	3/3	AZ @ CHC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PIT	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.7	0.4	0.9	4	WATCH	+0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lenyn Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ MIN	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	CWS @ SD	H	1.3	1.2	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ SEA	H	0.7	0.9	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ OAK	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Eli White	3/3	ATL @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ OAK	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ TB	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ COL	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SD	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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