Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 5 – May 4 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1050

MLB

Top Over

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ozzie Albies

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Bryson Stott

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	CWS @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	CWS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	CWS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	H	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Matthews	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carlos Correa	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Soler	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Willi Castro	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	ATL @ SEA	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ SF	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ LAA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	ATL @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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