Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

18.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1050

MLB

Top Over

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ozzie Albies

H • +1.0 • 28

Top 1

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Bryson Stott

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +2.0

Top 5

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jose Caballero	3/3	BAL @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen	3/3	CLE @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	BOS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ SF	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	BAL @ NYY	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Salvador Perez	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Naylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joey Ortiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hays ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kevin Mcgonigle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYY	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TB	H	1.3	1.1	1.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SF	H	1.3	1.1	1.2	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	1.1	1.2	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Starling Marte ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Correa	3/3	LAD @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.2	0.9	0	WATCH	-0.2	+0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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