Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 29 – May 5 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

41.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1215

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Jung Hoo Lee

H • -1.1 • 84

Top Fade

Christian Walker

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Cody Bellinger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Chase Delauter

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Jarren Duran

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Aaron Judge

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yoan Moncada	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SF	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Springer ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ TB	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Correa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ STL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathaniel Lowe	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Friedl	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Derek Hill	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ramon Laureano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	TOR @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ke'bryan Hayes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	BOS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	CWS @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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