Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1302

MLB

Top Over

Jonathan Aranda

H • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Jung Hoo Lee

H • -1.2 • 80

Top Fade

Christian Walker

H • +0.5 • 28

Top 1

Jonathan Aranda

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dillon Dingler

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Mark Vientos

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Andrew Benintendi

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Michael Busch

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alek Thomas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Matthews	3/3	LAD @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Caballero	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	ATL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	OAK @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pedro Pages	3/3	MIL @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tj Friedl	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	OAK @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trent Grisham	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	0.7	1.3	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	LAD @ HOU	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	TOR @ TB	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.7	1.5	0.5	52	OVER	+0.2	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ LAA	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ SF	H	1.3	0.8	0.5	51	OVER	+0.5	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	1.7	1.2	0.8	50	OVER	+0.5	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SEA	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ SF	H	2.0	1.1	1.5	49	OVER	+0.9	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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