Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

872

MLB

Top Over

Mark Vientos

RBI • +1.3 • 91

Top Under

Jordan Walker

RBI • -0.7 • 69

Top Fade

Chase Delauter

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Mark Vientos

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Bryce Harper

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Bryce Harper

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Cody Bellinger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Story	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Darell Hernaiz	3/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	BAL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.7	1.6	1.3	23	OVER	+0.1	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.7	1.8	0.9	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	0.9	1.3	22	OVER	+0.4	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.1	1.3	22	UNDER	-0.1	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ian Happ	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	STL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Story	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ MIA	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	OAK @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	PIT @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	STL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	CIN @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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