Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 24 – May 7 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

43.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

872

MLB

Top Over

Mark Vientos

RBI • +1.3 • 91

Top Under

Jordan Walker

RBI • -0.7 • 69

Top Fade

Chase Delauter

H • +0.8 • 22

Top 1

Mark Vientos

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 2

Bryce Harper

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Bryce Harper

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Cody Bellinger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CHC	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Mark Vientos	3/3	NYM @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager	3/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ian Happ	3/3	CIN @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.3	1.5	1.1	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	OAK @ PHI	H	1.0	1.3	1.1	1	WATCH	-0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.5	1	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.3	1.2	1.1	1	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ NYY	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ SD	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Liam Hicks	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	1.0	1.1	0.8	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	STL @ SD	H	1.0	1.2	1.1	0	WATCH	-0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	PIT @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ WSH	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.3	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ KC	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	OAK @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.7	0.9	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Ibanez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ MIA	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ SD	H	0.3	0.4	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Castellanos	3/3	STL @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.6	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Curtis Mead	3/3	MIN @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.5	0	WATCH	+0.0	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	PIT @ AZ	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.8	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Curtis Mead	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	0.7	0.7	0.5	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ CHC	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ KC	RBI	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Walls	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	0.7	0.5	0.7	0	WATCH	+0.2	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dylan Beavers	3/3	BAL @ MIA	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Young	3/3	MIN @ WSH	H	0.7	0.8	0.7	0	WATCH	-0.1	0.0	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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