Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

941

MLB

Top Over

Shea Langeliers

HR • +0.5 • 89

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Adolis Garcia

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Shea Langeliers

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 2

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Andrew Benintendi

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Ezequiel Duran

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 79 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Brandon Marsh	3/3	COL @ PHI	H	2.3	1.5	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Andrew Benintendi	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	2.0	0.9	0.7	88	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Pete Alonso	3/3	OAK @ BAL	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
5	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	CHC @ TEX	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ BAL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ MIA	RBI	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	William Contreras	3/3	NYY @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIL	H	2.0	1.6	0.7	62	OVER	+0.4	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	George Springer	3/3	LAA @ TOR	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CLE	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	CHC @ TEX	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ TEX	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brandon Valenzuela	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Esteury Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Meidroth	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	DET @ KC	H	2.0	1.3	1.3	51	OVER	+0.7	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Isbel	3/3	DET @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ryan Vilade	3/3	TB @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ KC	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brice Turang	3/3	NYY @ MIL	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Wallner	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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