Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

45.5%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

941

MLB

Top Over

Shea Langeliers

HR • +0.5 • 89

Top Under

Cal Raleigh

HR • -0.5 • 68

Top Fade

Adolis Garcia

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Shea Langeliers

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 2

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Andrew Benintendi

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Pete Alonso

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Ezequiel Duran

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 79 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Ernie Clement	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Burger	3/3	CHC @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joey Wiemer ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ke'bryan Hayes	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Myles Straw	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Salvador Perez	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
William Contreras	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	WSH @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Vazquez	3/3	HOU @ CIN	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIL	RBI	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	NYY @ MIL	H	0.3	1.3	0.7	47	UNDER	-1.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TEX	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PHI	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	CHC @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ CLE	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ben Rice ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ MIL	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	LAA @ TOR	RBI	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ MIA	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	SEA @ CWS	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ BAL	H	2.0	1.8	1.1	44	OVER	+0.2	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	LAA @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	0.9	43	UNDER	-0.6	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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