Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

58.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

952

MLB

Top Over

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Josh Jung

H • -0.7 • 72

Top Fade

Chase Delauter

H • +0.6 • 26

Top 1

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Shea Langeliers

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 3

Riley Greene

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 80 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 77 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.0

Top 5

Josh Jung

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 72 | Trend: -1.2 | Edge: -0.7

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Edouard Julien	3/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ernie Clement	3/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joc Pederson	3/3	CHC @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Manzardo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lane Thomas	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Otto Lopez	3/3	WSH @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Rob Refsnyder ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Royce Lewis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Vilade	3/3	TB @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tj Friedl ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
William Contreras	3/3	NYY @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ MIL	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CLE	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	COL @ PHI	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ PHI	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Tena ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ MIA	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ BOS	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ BAL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ TOR	H	0.7	0.8	1.7	47	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TOR	H	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ PHI	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ TEX	H	0.3	1.1	0.8	45	UNDER	-0.8	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	COL @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	LAA @ TOR	H	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	CHC @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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