Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← May 11 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

41.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

538

MLB

Top Over

Luke Raley

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Christian Vazquez

HR • -0.2 • 18

Top 1

Luke Raley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Heliot Ramos

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Ernie Clement

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 83 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 78 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -0.5

Top 5

Ben Rice

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 77 | Trend: -0.9 | Edge: -1.1

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Luke Raley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Ernie Clement	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
4	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
5	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.9	1.1	77	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.1	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	1.3	0.7	74	TOP UNDER	-1.3	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Josh Jung	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Blaze Alexander	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	1.0	55	UNDER	-0.5	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brice Matthews	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Casey Schmitt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Weston Wilson	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Mookie Betts ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.4	1.5	53	UNDER	-0.4	-1.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.3	1.0	1.1	52	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Weston Wilson	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alex Freeland ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Cam Smith	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Corey Seager	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Burger ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jake Fraley ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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