Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

66.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1342

MLB

Top Over

Luke Raley

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Luke Raley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Andres Gimenez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Michael Conforto

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TB @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith	3/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Millas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jacob Wilson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Javier Sanoja ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Barrosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Matt Wallner ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	COL @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Teoscar Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyrone Taylor	3/3	DET @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ CIN	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Harrison Bader ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	H	1.3	1.1	1.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brady House	3/3	WSH @ CIN	H	0.7	0.8	0.9	1	WATCH	-0.1	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brent Rooker	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.7	0.5	0.8	0	WATCH	+0.2	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ NYM	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.7	0.8	0.5	0	WATCH	-0.1	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	1.0	1.0	1.3	0	WATCH	0.0	-0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.0	1.0	0.7	0	WATCH	0.0	+0.3	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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