Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 13 – May 12 →

Wins

111

Losses

132

Push

Win %

45.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1342

MLB

Top Over

Luke Raley

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Luke Raley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Andres Gimenez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Michael Conforto

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	2.3	1.0	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	H	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ PIT	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Elly De La Cruz	3/3	WSH @ CIN	H	2.3	1.2	1.3	81	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.7	0.5	0.7	79	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	1.2	0.8	75	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	2.0	0.9	1.1	75	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	2.0	1.2	1.1	68	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jarren Duran	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	WSH @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Josh Jung	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	2.0	1.4	0.7	67	OVER	+0.6	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jeff Mcneil	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	0.0	0.7	1.1	63	UNDER	-0.7	-1.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ NYM	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.7	1.0	60	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Heliot Ramos	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.7	60	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	2.0	1.8	0.7	57	OVER	+0.2	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	COL @ PIT	RBI	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.3	0.9	1.3	56	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Austin Riley	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Brady House	3/3	WSH @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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