Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 6 – May 12 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

46.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1342

MLB

Top Over

Luke Raley

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Kazuma Okamoto

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Luke Raley

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Andres Gimenez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Michael Conforto

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Marcus Semien	3/3	DET @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.3	0.4	1.3	43	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.3	0.6	1.1	41	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lenyn Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ TOR	H	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.0	1.8	1.3	40	UNDER	-0.8	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.9	0.8	40	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Andujar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.9	0.8	40	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.3	0.9	0.8	40	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mj Melendez	3/3	DET @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ PIT	RBI	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	COL @ PIT	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	CHC @ ATL	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Miguel Vargas	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.3	1.0	0.7	39	OVER	+0.3	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joey Bart ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ PIT	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Lowe	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Fermin	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.8	38	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	DET @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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