Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1316

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Willy Adames

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Oneil Cruz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Signal	Why
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	LAA @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	0.7	0.7	0.7	WATCH	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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