Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

20%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1316

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

HR • +0.8 • 100

Top Under

Andy Pages

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Jonathan Aranda

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 2

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Willy Adames

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Oneil Cruz

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
David Hamilton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Romo	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isaac Collins	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.c. Escarra ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Triolo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PIT	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIA @ MIN	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.3	0.8	1.3	25	OVER	+0.5	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
James Mccann ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	LAA @ CLE	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colby Thomas ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jake Fraley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	CHC @ ATL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	AZ @ TEX	H	1.3	1.3	0.9	25	OVER	+0.0	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Romo	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Slater ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Billy Cook ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	AZ @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Teodosio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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