Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

762

MLB

Top Over

Dominic Canzone

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Otto Lopez

H • -1.4 • 87

Top Fade

Josh Bell

RBI • -1.5 • 55

Top 1

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Otto Lopez

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.4

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.4

Top 5

Trea Turner

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 80 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	0.7	1.0	0.8	23	UNDER	-0.3	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	1.0	22	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ LAD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ OAK	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.9	19	WATCH	0.0	-0.9	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Harrison Bader ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.7	1.5	16	FADE OVER	+0.6	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Darell Hernaiz	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Felix Reyes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarred Kelenic	3/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Gorman	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	KC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	STL @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Felix Reyes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Frelick	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	1.0	0.9	1.5	13	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	SF @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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