Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

762

MLB

Top Over

Dominic Canzone

RBI • +1.5 • 100

Top Under

Otto Lopez

H • -1.4 • 87

Top Fade

Josh Bell

RBI • -1.5 • 55

Top 1

Dominic Canzone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 2

Randy Arozarena

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Otto Lopez

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 87 | Trend: -1.0 | Edge: -1.4

Top 4

Shea Langeliers

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 86 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.4

Top 5

Trea Turner

H • TOP UNDER
Conf: 80 | Trend: -0.8 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Trevor Story	3/3	PHI @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Soderstrom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Victor Caratini ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ CWS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Will Smith	3/3	SF @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro	3/3	COL @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
William Contreras	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willson Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	PHI @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Cole ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ HOU	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	1.7	1.7	0.7	26	FADE UNDER	0.0	+1.0	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.9	26	OVER	+0.5	+0.1	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	SD @ MIL	H	0.7	1.1	0.8	26	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.7	1.5	1.3	26	OVER	+0.2	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	0.8	1.8	25	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.8	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	PHI @ BOS	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Altuve	3/3	SEA @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ MIN	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	SD @ MIL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Olson	3/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luke Raley	3/3	SEA @ HOU	H	1.0	0.7	1.7	24	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	PHI @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CHC @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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