Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Apr 17 – May 16 →

Wins

122

Losses

144

Push

Win %

45.9%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1348

MLB

Top Over

Nick Kurtz

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Shea Langeliers

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Brenton Doyle

H • -0.8 • 22

Top 1

Nick Kurtz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jj Bleday

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Teoscar Hernandez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Jj Bleday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	BAL @ WSH	H	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYY @ NYM	H	0.3	0.4	1.3	43	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
James Outman	3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	0.7	1.1	1.3	42	UNDER	-0.4	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brendan Donovan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYY @ NYM	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	BOS @ ATL	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Konnor Griffin	3/3	PHI @ PIT	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luke Raley	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CIN @ CLE	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corey Seager ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Fermin	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Junior Caminero	3/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wenceel Perez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ CWS	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jordan Walker	3/3	KC @ STL	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYY @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ CLE	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Paul Goldschmidt ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ NYM	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Zack Gelof	3/3	SF @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.3	0.5	40	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ LAA	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ DET	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Heliot Ramos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CIN @ CLE	H	0.7	1.0	1.3	39	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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