Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 10 – May 16 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

46%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1348

MLB

Top Over

Nick Kurtz

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Shea Langeliers

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Brenton Doyle

H • -0.8 • 22

Top 1

Nick Kurtz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jj Bleday

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Teoscar Hernandez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Jj Bleday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Vaughn Grissom	3/3	LAD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	MIA @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BOS @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christopher Morel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colton Cowser ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Garrett Mitchell ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Rogers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Moniak	3/3	AZ @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	BAL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Frelick	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sebastian Rivero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sebastian Rivero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Drew Gilbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ OAK	H	0.3	0.3	1.0	16	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.3	1.0	16	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.7	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ CWS	H	0.7	0.6	1.3	16	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.6	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley	3/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jordan Beck ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ COL	H	1.0	0.6	1.3	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	0.5	13	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Aaron Judge	3/3	NYY @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	PHI @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	KC @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	TEX @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CHC @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CIN @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	MIL @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	BOS @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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