Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 10 – May 16 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

46%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1348

MLB

Top Over

Nick Kurtz

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Shea Langeliers

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Brenton Doyle

H • -0.8 • 22

Top 1

Nick Kurtz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Jj Bleday

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Teoscar Hernandez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Jake Burger

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Jj Bleday

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 90 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Zach Neto	3/3	LAD @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ ATL	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	MIA @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ COL	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ OAK	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	TOR @ DET	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cam Smith	3/3	TEX @ HOU	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hyeseong Kim	3/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PHI @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Fermin	3/3	KC @ STL	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Church	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Story ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ ATL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ WSH	H	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	KC @ STL	H	1.0	1.4	0.9	8	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.1	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Dane Myers	3/3	CIN @ CLE	H	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Harrison Bader ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ OAK	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Trevino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ SEA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Burleson	3/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Walker	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corey Seager ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	AZ @ COL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ PIT	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CIN @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Trevino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ CLE	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ SEA	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIL @ MIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIL @ MIN	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	TOR @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith	3/3	LAD @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TEX @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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