Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 12 – May 18 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

51.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1263

MLB

Top Over

Jakob Marsee

H • +1.9 • 100

Top Under

Josh Jung

H • -1.3 • 83

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

H • -1.0 • 26

Top 1

Jakob Marsee

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.9

Top 2

Keibert Ruiz

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.9

Top 3

Gabriel Moreno

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Shohei Ohtani

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brent Rooker	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	SF @ AZ	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ PHI	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ COL	H	0.7	0.7	1.0	22	UNDER	0.0	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ PHI	H	1.3	1.8	0.9	20	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.4	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	OAK @ LAA	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	CWS @ SEA	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Connor Norby	3/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jarred Kelenic ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ DET	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ PHI	HR	0.7	0.9	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	BOS @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Busch	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mitch Garver ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	MIL @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	HOU @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler O'neill	3/3	BAL @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	OAK @ LAA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cole Young	3/3	CWS @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider	3/3	TOR @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Evan Carter	3/3	TEX @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Felix Reyes ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CIN @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	TEX @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeremy Pena ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack	3/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Tena	3/3	NYM @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lenyn Sosa	3/3	TOR @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leo Jimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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