Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

28.6%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1299

MLB

Top Over

Christian Walker

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Nick Gonzales

H • -1.5 • 87

Top Fade

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Christian Walker

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Christian Walker

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Ketel Marte

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.6

Top 5

Ketel Marte

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +2.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hunter Goodman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Bauers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	SEA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jorge Soler	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Justin Foscue	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Taylor Ward	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Caratini	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zach Cole ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Zack Gelof	3/3	SEA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CHC @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eli White ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ BOS	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ MIL	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.7	48	UNDER	-0.6	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	AZ @ SF	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	TB @ BAL	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	WSH @ CLE	H	1.7	1.4	0.7	48	OVER	+0.3	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	CIN @ NYM	H	0.3	1.3	0.7	47	UNDER	-1.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	MIN @ CWS	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ SF	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Leody Taveras	3/3	TB @ BAL	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ DET	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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