Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1309

MLB

Top Over

Rafael Devers

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Gunnar Henderson

H • -0.8 • 77

Top Fade

William Contreras

H • +0.6 • 24

Top 1

Rafael Devers

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Andy Pages

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Brooks Lee

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 4

Mookie Betts

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Yordan Alvarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	1.0	58	UNDER	-0.6	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ OAK	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	LAA @ DET	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	COL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	1.1	0.5	55	UNDER	-1.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Angel Martinez	3/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ KC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Harrison Bader	3/3	AZ @ SF	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Liam Hicks	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Mclain	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Vierling	3/3	LAA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Miguel Andujar	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Castellanos	3/3	PHI @ SD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Alonso	3/3	TB @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Sal Stewart	3/3	CIN @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Teoscar Hernandez	3/3	COL @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tristan Peters	3/3	MIN @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ BOS	H	0.3	1.0	1.1	52	UNDER	-0.7	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ KC	H	1.7	1.1	0.8	52	OVER	+0.6	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	CHC @ PIT	H	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	AZ @ SF	RBI	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ KC	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TEX	H	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.7	49	OVER	+0.7	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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