Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1287

MLB

Top Over

Ian Happ

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Tj Rumfield

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ketel Marte

RBI • +1.2 • 32

Top 1

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Andy Pages

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Vaughn Grissom

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.0

Top 4

Mookie Betts

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Yordan Alvarez

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Willi Castro	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohel Pozo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Danny Jansen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TEX	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Castellanos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.3	0.4	0.7	23	UNDER	-0.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.3	1.4	0.5	22	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	KC @ TEX	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	MIN @ PIT	RBI	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Curtis Mead	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	MIN @ PIT	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	0.7	1.5	0.5	21	FADE UNDER	-0.8	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ PIT	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ TEX	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ HOU	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SEA	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Evan Carter	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jj Bleday	3/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	LAA @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luke Raley	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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