Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 1 – May 30 →

Wins

106

Losses

154

Push

Win %

40.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1323

MLB

Top Over

Ian Happ

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Christian Walker

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Ketel Marte

H • +0.5 • 36

Top 1

Ian Happ

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.2 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.7 | Edge: +2.3

Top 3

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Tristan Peters

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

J.p. Crawford

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ COL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CWS	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ TB	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ COL	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	SF @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Marsh ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Jung	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mj Melendez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	NYY @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Shewmake	3/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Derek Hill ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Meyers	3/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Isbel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Karros	3/3	SF @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Wood	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.3	1.4	0.7	16	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Braden Shewmake	3/3	MIL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.8	15	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ WSH	RBI	1.0	1.2	0.5	15	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	1.0	0.6	1.3	14	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CHC @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	KC @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	KC @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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