Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jarren Duran

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Seiya Suzuki

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Sal Frelick ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sal Stewart	3/3	ATL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sam Antonacci	3/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	PHI @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Steer	3/3	ATL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Trammell	3/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Taylor Ward	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tj Rumfield ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Gray	3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	SF @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	NYY @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ BAL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wenceel Perez	3/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willi Castro	3/3	SF @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ WSH	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	LAA @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	NYY @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.7	12	WATCH	0.0	-0.7	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ PIT	H	0.3	0.2	0.8	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chase Delauter	3/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tristan Peters	3/3	DET @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.7	12	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Cam Smith	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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