Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jarren Duran

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Seiya Suzuki

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	PHI @ LAD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	SF @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willi Castro	3/3	SF @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ COL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.7	31	WATCH	0.0	-1.7	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.3	0.8	1.1	31	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mookie Betts	3/3	PHI @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	AZ @ SEA	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.7	0.7	31	UNDER	-0.4	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adam Frazier ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ TB	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ LAD	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ PIT	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Bolte	3/3	NYY @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jared Young	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masyn Winn	3/3	CHC @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ OAK	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Victor Scott Ii	3/3	CHC @ STL	H	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.3	1.3	0.7	31	OVER	+0.0	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TEX	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	AZ @ SEA	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	AZ @ SEA	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ PIT	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Marcus Semien	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	NYY @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.6	0.7	30	OVER	+0.4	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ CLE	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joc Pederson	3/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	H	1.0	0.5	0.8	29	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls	3/3	LAA @ TB	H	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Will Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ LAD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.8	29	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brent Rooker	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ NYM	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	SD @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	NYY @ OAK	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.7	29	UNDER	-0.3	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brice Matthews ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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