Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← May 2 – May 31 →

Wins

100

Losses

151

Push

Win %

39.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1353

MLB

Top Over

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yordan Alvarez

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Jarren Duran

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Ronald Acuna Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Seiya Suzuki

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Ian Happ

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Ben Rice

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cj Abrams	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Owen Caissie	3/3	MIA @ NYM	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	AZ @ SEA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ BAL	H	1.0	1.4	0.5	20	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Christian Yelich	3/3	MIL @ HOU	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	SF @ COL	H	1.3	1.0	1.3	20	OVER	+0.3	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ CLE	H	1.0	1.6	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.6	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ WSH	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Sal Stewart	3/3	ATL @ CIN	H	1.3	1.5	0.7	19	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ OAK	H	1.0	1.3	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.5	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	DET @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Carter Jensen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	DET @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Chourio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mangum	3/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	SF @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Mateo	3/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Konnor Griffin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mark Vientos	3/3	MIA @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Thomas Saggese ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ PIT	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	MIA @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ CLE	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Braden Shewmake ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	LAA @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edgar Quero ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gage Workman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	DET @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jake Mangum	3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	MIN @ PIT	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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