Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1332

MLB

Top Over

Tristan Gray

RBI • +1.8 • 100

Top Under

Ketel Marte

H • -1.0 • 79

Top Fade

Keibert Ruiz

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Tristan Gray

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jackson Chourio

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Ben Rice

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jake Mccarthy

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Tristan Gray	3/3	CWS @ MIN	RBI	2.3	0.9	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Jackson Chourio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ben Rice	3/3	CLE @ NYY	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ LAA	RBI	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nicky Lopez	3/3	TEX @ STL	H	2.0	0.7	0.7	93	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ MIL	H	2.7	1.7	0.5	91	TOP OVER	+1.0	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ben Rice	3/3	CLE @ NYY	H	2.3	1.4	0.7	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ MIL	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Michael Busch	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ketel Marte	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	0.3	1.5	1.3	79	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Josh Bell	3/3	CWS @ MIN	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ SEA	H	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TB	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jake Meyers	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Curtis Mead	3/3	MIA @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Michael Harris Ii	3/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	KC @ CIN	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ LAA	H	1.7	0.8	0.8	68	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	J.p. Crawford	3/3	NYM @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	TOR @ ATL	H	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jorge Mateo	3/3	TOR @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ SEA	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	H	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	1.7	1.1	0.5	62	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ NYY	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Sogard ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	H	0.0	0.7	1.0	60	UNDER	-0.7	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ ATL	H	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ SEA	RBI	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	TOR @ ATL	RBI	1.7	1.2	0.5	59	OVER	+0.5	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TB	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ ATL	RBI	1.3	0.6	0.5	56	OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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