Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

810

MLB

Top Over

Tristan Gray

RBI • +1.8 • 98

Top Under

Ketel Marte

H • -1.2 • 83

Top Fade

Jung Hoo Lee

H • +0.6 • 29

Top 1

Tristan Gray

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jose Ramirez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Henry Davis

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Wilyer Abreu

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Michael Massey

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Christian Yelich	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Chourio	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Frelick	3/3	SF @ MIL	H	1.3	0.7	0.7	47	OVER	+0.6	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Eric Haase ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.8	46	UNDER	-0.4	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jorge Mateo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.7	0.2	0.5	46	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	2.0	1.5	1.3	45	OVER	+0.5	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.7	45	UNDER	-0.5	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	1.3	1.0	0.5	45	OVER	+0.3	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ NYY	H	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Smith	3/3	TOR @ ATL	H	0.0	0.7	0.5	44	UNDER	-0.7	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Endy Rodriguez	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.5	44	OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ PHI	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ NYY	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.3	1.1	0.5	43	OVER	+0.2	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ MIL	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ CHC	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.5	42	UNDER	-0.6	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.4	0.5	42	OVER	+0.6	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
J.c. Escarra ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	0.3	1.3	0.5	40	UNDER	-1.0	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Trea Turner	3/3	SD @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.7	0.8	1.5	40	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Byron Buxton	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.7	0.8	1.5	40	UNDER	-0.1	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ HOU	H	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	1.3	1.2	0.5	40	OVER	+0.1	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	SD @ PHI	H	0.3	1.0	0.7	39	UNDER	-0.7	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ NYY	H	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	TOR @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Allen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.5	0.5	39	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	LAD @ AZ	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Vinnie Pasquantino	3/3	KC @ MIN	RBI	1.0	0.5	0.5	39	OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
William Contreras	3/3	SF @ MIL	H	0.7	1.0	1.3	39	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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