Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

810

MLB

Top Over

Tristan Gray

RBI • +1.8 • 98

Top Under

Ketel Marte

H • -1.2 • 83

Top Fade

Jung Hoo Lee

H • +0.6 • 29

Top 1

Tristan Gray

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Top 2

Jose Ramirez

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Henry Davis

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Wilyer Abreu

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 91 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Michael Massey

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.9 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ AZ	H	1.7	1.3	1.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ ATL	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CHC	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ ATL	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ CHC	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	OAK @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ HOU	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	OAK @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	CLE @ NYY	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ BOS	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ NYY	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jarren Duran	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Oneil Cruz	3/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ PHI	H	1.3	1.7	0.7	24	FADE UNDER	-0.4	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	SD @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Call	3/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andruw Monasterio ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Matthews ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	SF @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cesar Salazar ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	OAK @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho	3/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Dominic Smith	3/3	TOR @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Freddy Fermin	3/3	SD @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isaac Collins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.c. Escarra ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Triolo	3/3	PIT @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jeff Mcneil	3/3	OAK @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fernandez	3/3	LAD @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Justin Crawford	3/3	SD @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Isbel	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Leody Taveras ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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