Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1335

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.8 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.8

Top 2

Isaac Paredes

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Mauricio Dubon

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Adley Rutschman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Taylor Ward

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brooks Lee	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Schwarber	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Manny Machado	3/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adam Frazier ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adam Frazier ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Bohm	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	CIN @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	SF @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Call	3/3	LAA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	PIT @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wells ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Dunn	3/3	CIN @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	CLE @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brent Rooker	3/3	OAK @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brett Baty	3/3	NYM @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Harper	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Johnson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryson Stott	3/3	CWS @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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