Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1335

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.8 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.8

Top 2

Isaac Paredes

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Mauricio Dubon

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Adley Rutschman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Taylor Ward

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	NYM @ SD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	TB @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	OAK @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	1.0	0.9	1.3	6	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ CHC	H	1.7	1.4	1.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	CLE @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	CLE @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ HOU	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith	3/3	SEA @ DET	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEX	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Hamilton	3/3	MIL @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.p. Crawford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
J.t. Realmuto	3/3	CWS @ PHI	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Wood	3/3	WSH @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	LAA @ LAD	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Michael Busch	3/3	SF @ CHC	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ HOU	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAA @ LAD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Martin	3/3	KC @ MIN	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ AZ	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esteury Ruiz	3/3	TB @ MIA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jose Fermin	3/3	CIN @ STL	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens	3/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Allen	3/3	OAK @ HOU	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ MIA	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Fortes	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Seiya Suzuki	3/3	SF @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ PHI	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Troy Johnston	3/3	MIL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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