Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1335

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.8 • 100

Top Under

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.5 • 89

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.8

Top 2

Isaac Paredes

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Mauricio Dubon

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Adley Rutschman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.8

Top 5

Taylor Ward

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.8

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Colt Emerson	3/3	SEA @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Meyers	3/3	OAK @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack	3/3	TB @ MIA	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	SF @ CHC	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rikuu Nishida	3/3	CWS @ PHI	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan Waldschmidt	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Troy	3/3	WSH @ AZ	H	1.0	0.8	0.5	31	OVER	+0.2	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Wyatt Langford ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.5	31	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Tovar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ COL	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	BOS @ NYY	H	0.3	0.9	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.6	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	SEA @ DET	HR	0.3	0.5	0.5	30	UNDER	-0.2	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hunter Goodman	3/3	MIL @ COL	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.7	0.5	0.5	30	OVER	+0.2	+0.2	Recent spike in a volatile stat with line still playable.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ MIA	H	1.7	1.4	1.3	29	OVER	+0.3	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ DET	H	1.0	1.1	1.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Coby Mayo	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daniel Schneemann ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Donovan Walton	3/3	LAA @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
George Springer	3/3	BAL @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ TEX	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nasim Nunez	3/3	WSH @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith	3/3	WSH @ AZ	R	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Steven Kwan	3/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Sung-mun Song ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	H	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tommy Troy	3/3	WSH @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ty France	3/3	NYM @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.5	29	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	TB @ MIA	RBI	0.0	0.1	0.5	29	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Ramirez	3/3	CLE @ TEX	RBI	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ HOU	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Samuel Basallo	3/3	BAL @ TOR	H	0.3	0.8	0.5	27	UNDER	-0.5	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edouard Julien	3/3	MIL @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Matt Vierling	3/3	SEA @ DET	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Mckinstry ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ DET	H	0.7	0.2	0.5	27	OVER	+0.5	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jeremy Pena	3/3	OAK @ HOU	H	1.7	1.6	1.2	27	OVER	+0.1	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	NYM @ SD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adley Rutschman	3/3	BAL @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Adolis Garcia	3/3	CWS @ PHI	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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