Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

60%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1341

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +3.2 • 100

Top Under

Ronald Acuna Jr.

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Ben Rice

H • +0.5 • 26

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.1 | Edge: +3.2

Top 2

Jordan Walker

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.9

Top 3

Willson Contreras

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 4

Casey Schmitt

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Bo Bichette

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Dillon Dingler	3/3	SEA @ DET	RBI	1.7	1.3	0.7	50	OVER	+0.4	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	BOS @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.9	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ PHI	H	1.7	1.6	0.5	49	OVER	+0.1	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alex Bregman	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	CLE @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Bryson Stott	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cam Smith	3/3	OAK @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Walker	3/3	OAK @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cole Young	3/3	SEA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	SF @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Drew Romo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Endy Rodriguez	3/3	PIT @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jac Caglianone ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jesus Sanchez	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Joe Mack	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Junior Caminero	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Stowers	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Liam Hicks	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mark Vientos ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Masyn Winn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	BAL @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	WSH @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nolan Schanuel ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Oswald Peraza	3/3	LAA @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Otto Lopez	3/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Owen Caissie ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	CLE @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.1	0.5	49	UNDER	-0.1	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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