Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 8 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

723

MLB

Top Over

Matt Chapman

RBI • +2.6 • 100

Top Under

Isiah Kiner-falefa

H • -1.0 • 73

Top Fade

Fernando Tatis Jr.

H • +0.8 • 25

Top 1

Matt Chapman

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.6

Top 2

Willson Contreras

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 4

Matt Mclain

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Top 5

Luis Garcia Jr.

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Wade Meckler	3/3	HOU @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willy Adames	3/3	WSH @ SF	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	BOS @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	CIN @ SD	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	BOS @ TB	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yohendrick Pinango ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	HOU @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zack Gelof	3/3	MIL @ OAK	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Bryson Stott	3/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ SF	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Arraez	3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Patrick Bailey	3/3	NYY @ CLE	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ SD	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	CIN @ SD	H	1.3	1.5	0.5	25	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.8	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Pete Alonso	3/3	SEA @ BAL	H	0.7	1.2	0.7	25	UNDER	-0.5	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TB	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Millas ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	WSH @ SF	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mickey Gasper	3/3	BOS @ TB	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Heineman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ TOR	H	0.7	0.3	0.5	25	OVER	+0.4	+0.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Colton Cowser	3/3	SEA @ BAL	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ LAA	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	MIL @ OAK	H	0.7	0.7	1.1	25	UNDER	0.0	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
J.p. Crawford ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Angel Martinez	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Williamson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins	3/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryce Johnson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CIN @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Narvaez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Delauter	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Schneemann	3/3	NYY @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Darell Hernaiz ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	PHI @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	SEA @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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