Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

75%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1462

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 77

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.0 • 28

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Bo Bichette

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Bo Bichette

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Matt Chapman	3/3	CHC @ SF	H	1.7	1.5	0.7	45	OVER	+0.2	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.3	1.2	0.7	44	UNDER	-0.9	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Jung	3/3	TEX @ BOS	H	0.7	1.2	1.3	44	UNDER	-0.5	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ OAK	H	0.7	1.2	1.3	44	UNDER	-0.5	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	HOU @ KC	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Chase Delauter ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CLE	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Christian Walker	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ TOR	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Noelvi Marte	3/3	AZ @ CIN	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	H	1.3	0.8	0.7	44	OVER	+0.5	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Troy Johnston	3/3	COL @ OAK	H	1.7	1.2	1.0	43	OVER	+0.5	+0.7	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Amed Rosario ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	LAD @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CWS	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	CHC @ SF	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ KC	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	CHC @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.8	43	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.0	0.4	0.7	43	UNDER	-0.4	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	CHC @ SF	H	1.7	1.6	0.7	43	OVER	+0.1	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carlos Cortes	3/3	COL @ OAK	H	0.3	0.4	1.3	43	UNDER	-0.1	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Benge	3/3	ATL @ NYM	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	COL @ OAK	RBI	0.3	1.1	0.7	42	UNDER	-0.8	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ OAK	H	1.7	0.9	1.3	42	OVER	+0.8	+0.4	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Carter Jensen	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	LAD @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ BAL	H	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.9	0.7	42	OVER	+0.4	+0.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SF	H	0.3	0.6	1.1	41	UNDER	-0.3	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Adrian Del Castillo ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Christian Vazquez	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	H	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Higashioka	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.8	41	UNDER	-0.2	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blake Dunn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jase Bowen ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ BAL	H	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	NYY @ TOR	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	DET @ CLE	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	SD @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.7	40	UNDER	-0.3	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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