Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 8 – Jun 14 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

56.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1462

MLB

Top Over

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Hunter Goodman

H • -1.2 • 77

Top Fade

Chandler Simpson

H • -1.0 • 28

Top 1

Ceddanne Rafaela

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Bo Bichette

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Nick Fortes

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Garrett Mitchell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Bo Bichette

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 89 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
William Contreras	3/3	PHI @ MIL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willson Contreras	3/3	TEX @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Willy Adames	3/3	CHC @ SF	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TEX @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wyatt Langford	3/3	TEX @ BOS	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ BAL	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ PIT	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yandy Diaz	3/3	TB @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Yohendrick Pinango	3/3	NYY @ TOR	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	DET @ CLE	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Neto	3/3	TB @ LAA	TB	0.0	0.0	1.5	26	WATCH	0.0	-1.5	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.7	1.7	0.7	26	FADE UNDER	0.0	+1.0	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Blake Dunn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.7	1.1	0.8	26	UNDER	-0.4	-0.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ SF	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Colton Cowser	3/3	SD @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Edwin Arroyo	3/3	AZ @ CIN	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	SD @ BAL	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jackson Holliday	3/3	SD @ BAL	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jake Burger	3/3	TEX @ BOS	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Maikel Garcia	3/3	HOU @ KC	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Michael Harris Ii	3/3	ATL @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAA	H	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	MIA @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.5	0.7	26	UNDER	-0.2	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ CIN	H	1.3	0.8	1.3	25	OVER	+0.5	+0.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	0.3	0.7	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.4	-0.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Angel Martinez	3/3	DET @ CLE	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Daylen Lile	3/3	SEA @ WSH	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Ryan O'hearn	3/3	MIA @ PIT	H	1.0	0.8	0.7	25	OVER	+0.2	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Shohei Ohtani ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ CWS	H	1.0	1.2	1.3	25	UNDER	-0.2	-0.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonah Heim	3/3	COL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kody Clemens	3/3	STL @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	SEA @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.4	0.5	25	UNDER	-0.1	-0.2	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Freeland	3/3	LAD @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Wynns ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr.	3/3	HOU @ KC	HR	0.0	0.0	0.5	24	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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