Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 16 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Willi Castro

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.3 • 93

Top Fade

Dillon Dingler

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Eugenio Suarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Hunter Goodman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jo Adell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jackson Chourio	3/3	CLE @ MIL	H	2.3	1.9	1.1	61	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mauricio Dubon	3/3	SF @ ATL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAD	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Nico Hoerner ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	H	0.0	0.5	1.1	58	UNDER	-0.5	-1.1	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.7	1.3	0.5	57	OVER	+0.4	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ SEA	H	1.7	1.1	0.7	56	OVER	+0.6	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Andy Pages	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cj Abrams	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Coby Mayo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Curtis Mead ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
David Hamilton	3/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jared Young	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	SD @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Busch	3/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ryan Ward	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ CHC	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Spencer Horwitz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Tyler Callihan	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
William Contreras	3/3	CLE @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.2	0.5	55	UNDER	-0.2	-0.5	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ ATL	H	0.7	1.8	1.1	53	UNDER	-1.1	-0.4	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	TOR @ BOS	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BOS	RBI	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Mike Trout	3/3	LAA @ AZ	H	1.3	0.7	0.5	53	OVER	+0.6	+0.8	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Henry Bolte	3/3	PIT @ OAK	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ CHC	H	1.7	1.2	0.7	53	OVER	+0.5	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ LAD	RBI	0.0	0.4	1.0	52	UNDER	-0.4	-1.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	DET @ HOU	H	2.0	1.5	1.1	52	OVER	+0.5	+0.9	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Eli White	3/3	SF @ ATL	H	1.3	0.4	0.8	51	OVER	+0.9	+0.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Brice Turang ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Bryce Harper	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Gleyber Torres ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.6	0.8	51	UNDER	-0.6	-0.8	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	CWS @ NYY	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Javier Sanoja	3/3	MIA @ PHI	H	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	DET @ HOU	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Randy Arozarena ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.7	0.7	51	UNDER	-0.7	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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