Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 16 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

50%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1322

MLB

Top Over

Willi Castro

RBI • +1.6 • 100

Top Under

Yandy Diaz

H • -1.3 • 93

Top Fade

Dillon Dingler

H • +0.6 • 19

Top 1

Willi Castro

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +1.6

Top 2

Eugenio Suarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.7

Top 4

Hunter Goodman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Jo Adell

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 94 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +2.0

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski	3/3	SF @ ATL	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ NYY	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	LAA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dominic Canzone	3/3	BAL @ SEA	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dylan Crews	3/3	KC @ WSH	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ PHI	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Isaac Paredes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jordan Walker	3/3	SD @ STL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Olson	3/3	SF @ ATL	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Max Muncy	3/3	TB @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zack Gelof	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	PIT @ OAK	HR	0.7	0.7	0.5	7	FADE UNDER	0.0	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	TB @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Christian Vazquez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ MIL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Davis Schneider ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edmundo Sosa	3/3	MIA @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ernie Clement	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ CIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
George Springer	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ha-seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	DET @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Isiah Kiner-falefa	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman	3/3	DET @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jarren Duran	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Mickey Gasper ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Myles Straw	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Sterlin Thompson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	COL @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ty France ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Willson Contreras	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Wilyer Abreu	3/3	TOR @ BOS	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Benge	3/3	NYM @ CIN	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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