Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 19 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

33.3%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1205

MLB

Top Over

Trevor Larnach

H • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Nick Madrigal

H • -1.3 • 86

Top Fade

Paul Goldschmidt

H • +1.0 • 26

Top 1

Trevor Larnach

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Casey Schmitt

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 92 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 3

Carter Jensen

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Colt Keith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Eugenio Suarez

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 88 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Joc Pederson	3/3	SD @ TEX	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jung Hoo Lee	3/3	SF @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Karros	3/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Tucker	3/3	BAL @ LAD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Arraez	3/3	SF @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Michael Massey	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	STL @ KC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Troy Johnston ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	WSH @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ CHC	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAA @ OAK	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Willi Castro	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	1.0	1.5	0.7	17	FADE UNDER	-0.5	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna	3/3	SD @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Vaughn	3/3	MIL @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	BAL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Riley	3/3	MIL @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ben Rice	3/3	CIN @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Billy Cook	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Dunn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYY	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blake Perkins	3/3	MIL @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Blaze Alexander ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ LAD	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SD @ TEX	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ ATL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cal Raleigh	3/3	BOS @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Caleb Durbin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cam Smith	3/3	CLE @ HOU	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carlos Cortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Carter Jensen	3/3	STL @ KC	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	BOS @ SEA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	WSH @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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