Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 7 – Jun 20 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

47.8%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

Sort By

Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1240

MLB

Top Over

Corbin Carroll

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • +0.9 • 25

Top 1

Corbin Carroll

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Trevor Larnach

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Colt Keith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jose Altuve	3/3	CLE @ HOU	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.3	0.3	0.5	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Brooks Lee	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
James Outman ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jordan Lawlar ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Josh Bell	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ketel Marte	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kody Clemens	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luke Keaschall	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	PIT @ COL	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Royce Lewis	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Tommy Troy	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ AZ	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TB	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Short	3/3	NYM @ PHI	R	0.0	0.0	0.5	6	WATCH	0.0	-0.5	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	CIN @ NYY	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jake Burger	3/3	SD @ TEX	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Keibert Ruiz	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Ozzie Albies	3/3	MIL @ ATL	H	1.0	1.1	0.7	6	FADE UNDER	-0.1	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Endy Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	0.7	0.3	0.7	5	FADE OVER	+0.4	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Julio Rodriguez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ SEA	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Marcelo Mayer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ SEA	RBI	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ HOU	H	1.0	0.7	0.8	4	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zack Gelof ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	H	1.0	1.3	0.8	4	WATCH	-0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Edouard Julien ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ COL	H	0.3	0.6	0.5	2	WATCH	-0.3	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Max Muncy	3/3	BAL @ LAD	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TB	H	0.7	0.4	0.5	2	WATCH	+0.3	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ SEA	H	1.0	1.2	0.8	2	WATCH	-0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	CWS @ DET	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Vaughn Grissom ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ OAK	H	1.0	0.8	0.8	2	WATCH	+0.2	+0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Jackson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.3	0.1	0.5	1	WATCH	+0.2	-0.2	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	0.7	0.4	0.8	1	WATCH	+0.3	-0.1	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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