Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 20 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

80%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1240

MLB

Top Over

Corbin Carroll

RBI • +2.0 • 100

Top Under

Byron Buxton

HR • -0.5 • 78

Top Fade

Pete Crow-armstrong

H • +0.9 • 25

Top 1

Corbin Carroll

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 2

Trevor Larnach

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.0

Top 3

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ty France

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 96 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5

Colt Keith

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 95 | Trend: +1.1 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Corbin Carroll	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	2.7	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ AZ	H	2.7	1.1	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Carson Kelly ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CHC	RBI	2.3	0.8	0.7	100	TOP OVER	+1.5	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Ty France	3/3	SD @ TEX	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.7	96	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Colt Keith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.5	95	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CLE @ HOU	RBI	2.0	0.6	0.8	93	TOP OVER	+1.4	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	2.0	0.8	0.7	91	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Seiya Suzuki	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	2.3	1.4	0.8	90	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CLE @ HOU	HR	1.0	0.3	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	CLE @ HOU	H	2.3	1.0	1.3	86	TOP OVER	+1.3	+1.0	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	2.0	0.9	0.8	85	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Alec Bohm	3/3	NYM @ PHI	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	1.0	0.5	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.5	+0.5	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	MIL @ ATL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jo Adell	3/3	LAA @ OAK	H	0.0	1.2	0.8	75	TOP UNDER	-1.2	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	LAA @ OAK	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ian Happ	3/3	TOR @ CHC	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Wyatt Langford	3/3	SD @ TEX	H	2.0	1.3	0.7	70	OVER	+0.7	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	0.0	1.1	0.7	69	TOP UNDER	-1.1	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jacob Wilson	3/3	LAA @ OAK	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.8	68	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bo Bichette	3/3	NYM @ PHI	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	PIT @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Moreno ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ AZ	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	James Wood	3/3	WSH @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ NYY	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	SF @ MIA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Olson	3/3	MIL @ ATL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	CWS @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Willson Contreras	3/3	BOS @ SEA	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Adley Rutschman ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	BAL @ LAD	RBI	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Juan Soto	3/3	NYM @ PHI	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Logan O'hoppe ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ OAK	H	2.0	1.4	0.8	64	OVER	+0.6	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Ceddanne Rafaela ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ SEA	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.8	64	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ TB	H	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ NYY	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.7	64	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Trevor Larnach	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	2.3	1.6	1.3	62	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Austin Riley	3/3	MIL @ ATL	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ DET	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ MIA	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Byron Buxton	3/3	MIN @ AZ	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cole Carrigg	3/3	PIT @ COL	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	PIT @ COL	H	2.0	1.2	1.3	61	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Samad Taylor	3/3	SD @ TEX	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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