Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 22 →

Wins

Losses

Win %

16.7%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1142

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Bo Bichette

H • -1.0 • 82

Top Fade

Juan Soto

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.8 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.6

Top 4

Ryan Kreidler

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Bryce Harper

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ CIN	RBI	0.7	1.1	0.7	22	UNDER	-0.4	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cole Carrigg	3/3	BOS @ COL	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	ATL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	NYY @ DET	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ CWS	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Manny Machado	3/3	ATL @ SD	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Michael Busch	3/3	CHC @ NYM	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Sal Stewart	3/3	MIL @ CIN	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Zach Neto	3/3	BAL @ LAA	H	1.0	0.9	0.7	22	OVER	+0.1	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Juan Soto	3/3	CHC @ NYM	H	1.3	1.6	0.7	21	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.6	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jose Caballero	3/3	NYY @ DET	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Josh Bell	3/3	LAD @ MIN	RBI	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Stephenson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	H	0.7	1.0	0.7	20	UNDER	-0.3	0.0	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	0.7	1.4	0.5	18	FADE UNDER	-0.7	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Blaze Alexander	3/3	BAL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
David Fry ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	BOS @ COL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Barrosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ketel Marte	3/3	AZ @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Masyn Winn	3/3	AZ @ STL	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ NYM	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SD	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nathan Lukes	3/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Schanuel	3/3	BAL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Kreidler	3/3	LAD @ MIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
William Contreras	3/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.1	0.5	18	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
A.j. Ewing	3/3	CHC @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alec Burleson	3/3	AZ @ STL	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Kirk	3/3	HOU @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alejandro Osuna ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIA	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Bregman	3/3	CHC @ NYM	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Alex Jackson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Amed Rosario	3/3	NYY @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andres Gimenez	3/3	HOU @ TOR	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andrew Benintendi	3/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ MIN	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ DET	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Austin Hedges ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	R	0.0	0.0	0.8	16	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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