Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 10 – Jun 23 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40.4%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1344

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Bo Bichette

H • -0.8 • 75

Top Fade

Byron Buxton

H • +0.8 • 28

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Bryce Harper

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +1.8

Top 3

Carson Kelly

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.5 | Edge: +1.5

Top 4

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 5

Manny Machado

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Heriberto Hernandez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jake Burger ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonny Deluca	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Manzardo	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	BAL @ LAA	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Randal Grichuk	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	NYY @ DET	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Shea Langeliers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SF	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Tommy Troy	3/3	AZ @ STL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Wilyer Abreu ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ COL	HR	0.3	0.2	0.5	12	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.2	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ SF	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ DET	H	1.0	1.3	0.7	11	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ MIN	H	1.0	0.7	1.3	11	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ DET	H	0.7	0.2	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.5	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Andrew Vaughn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Daniel Susac	3/3	OAK @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ WSH	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ MIA	H	0.3	0.3	0.8	10	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.5	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	KC @ TB	H	1.0	1.2	0.7	9	FADE UNDER	-0.2	+0.3	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Trea Turner	3/3	PHI @ WSH	H	1.0	0.8	1.3	9	FADE OVER	+0.2	-0.3	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Braden Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	TEX @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ NYM	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Ryan Mcmahon ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	NYY @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Salvador Perez	3/3	KC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ TOR	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	NYY @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.2	0.7	9	FADE OVER	+0.1	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	CHC @ NYM	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ SD	H	0.7	1.0	0.5	8	FADE UNDER	-0.3	+0.2	Trend is down, but the line may already be discounted.
Spencer Steer ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CIN	H	0.7	0.3	0.8	8	FADE OVER	+0.4	-0.1	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Jorge Barrosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pedro Pages ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Taylor Ward	3/3	BAL @ LAA	RBI	0.7	0.2	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.5	0.0	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Chandler Simpson	3/3	KC @ TB	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Drew Gilbert	3/3	OAK @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ SF	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Hunter Feduccia ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ TB	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ PIT	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling	3/3	NYY @ DET	H	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Matt Vierling	3/3	NYY @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Otto Lopez	3/3	TEX @ MIA	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Pavin Smith	3/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Rhys Hoskins	3/3	CLE @ CWS	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Riley Greene	3/3	NYY @ DET	RBI	0.3	0.3	0.7	7	FADE OVER	+0.0	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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