Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 24 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1268

MLB

Top Over

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • +2.2 • 100

Top Under

Colson Montgomery

HR • -0.5 • 73

Top Fade

Bryan Reynolds

H • +0.6 • 21

Top 1

Kyle Schwarber

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +2.0 | Edge: +2.2

Top 2

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.8 | Edge: +0.8

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +0.7 | Edge: +0.8

Top 4

Kazuma Okamoto

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 98 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.6

Top 5

Gunnar Henderson

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 86 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ WSH	RBI	3.0	1.0	0.8	100	TOP OVER	+2.0	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Kyle Schwarber ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ WSH	HR	1.3	0.5	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	1.3	0.6	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+0.7	+0.8	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	HOU @ TOR	RBI	2.3	1.1	0.7	98	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.6	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ LAA	H	2.0	1.0	0.7	86	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.3	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	0.7	83	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	ATL @ SD	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nick Loftin	3/3	KC @ TB	H	2.0	1.2	0.7	80	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.3	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Jac Caglianone	3/3	KC @ TB	RBI	2.0	1.1	0.8	80	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	HOU @ TOR	H	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Daulton Varsho	3/3	HOU @ TOR	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.7	77	TOP OVER	+1.1	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Casey Schmitt	3/3	OAK @ SF	H	2.3	1.7	0.7	74	OVER	+0.6	+1.6	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Xavier Edwards	3/3	TEX @ MIA	H	1.7	0.7	0.7	74	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Masyn Winn ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.6	0.8	73	TOP OVER	+1.1	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ DET	HR	0.0	0.4	0.5	73	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Joc Pederson	3/3	TEX @ MIA	H	1.7	0.8	0.7	71	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Nolan Schanuel	3/3	BAL @ LAA	H	2.0	1.1	1.1	70	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.9	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	OAK @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	George Springer	3/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	BOS @ COL	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ TB	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Matt Chapman	3/3	OAK @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Noelvi Marte	3/3	MIL @ CIN	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Rafael Devers	3/3	OAK @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CLE @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Zack Gelof ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ SF	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.9	0.8	67	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ CWS	H	0.0	0.9	0.8	67	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-0.8	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Luke Keaschall	3/3	LAD @ MIN	H	0.0	1.0	0.7	66	TOP UNDER	-1.0	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	KC @ TB	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	TEX @ MIA	H	2.0	1.5	0.7	65	OVER	+0.5	+1.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jarren Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ COL	H	0.0	0.5	1.3	65	UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Harper	3/3	PHI @ WSH	H	2.0	1.1	1.3	64	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.7	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ LAA	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ TOR	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.7	63	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.6	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	SEA @ PIT	H	1.7	0.9	0.7	61	OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	OAK @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ TB	H	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.8	0.7	61	TOP UNDER	-0.8	-0.7	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Connor Wong	3/3	BOS @ COL	H	0.3	0.8	1.5	59	UNDER	-0.5	-1.2	Negative trend with market support still in place.
	Brandon Lowe	3/3	SEA @ PIT	H	1.7	1.0	0.7	58	OVER	+0.7	+1.0	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	BOS @ COL	H	0.0	0.2	1.3	57	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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