Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1269

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Top 5	Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
1	Junior Caminero	3/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	3.0	1.1	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.9	+2.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
2	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	2.7	1.1	0.5	100	TOP OVER	+1.6	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
3	Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ NYM	H	2.7	1.4	0.5	99	TOP OVER	+1.3	+2.2	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
4	Daulton Varsho ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	H	2.0	0.8	0.5	97	TOP OVER	+1.2	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
5	Kyle Schwarber	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.5	1.3	92	TOP UNDER	-0.5	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Joc Pederson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	H	2.0	1.1	0.5	89	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Josh Jung ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	H	0.0	0.9	1.5	89	TOP UNDER	-0.9	-1.5	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ SD	H	2.0	1.2	0.5	87	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.5	Elite up trend, line still behind — strong over setup.
	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Colson Montgomery	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Tj Rumfield	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Zach Neto	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.4	1.3	87	TOP UNDER	-0.4	-1.3	Elite down trend, line still too high — strong under setup.
	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Cj Abrams	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Colt Keith	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Jj Wetherholt	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Kyle Stowers	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Nick Kurtz	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Sam Antonacci	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Shohei Ohtani	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Travis Bazzana	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.3	1.3	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.3	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Donovan Walton	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.3	1.0	82	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Down trend plus supportive under value.
	Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.7	0.5	80	TOP OVER	+1.0	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Blaze Jordan	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	1.7	0.8	0.5	78	TOP OVER	+0.9	+1.2	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Ryan O'hearn	3/3	CIN @ PIT	H	2.0	1.3	0.5	76	OVER	+0.7	+1.5	Positive trend with market support still in place.
	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	AZ @ TB	H	2.3	1.5	1.3	73	TOP OVER	+0.8	+1.0	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Pete Crow-armstrong	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.3	0.6	1.3	72	UNDER	-0.3	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Joey Loperfido	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	1.3	0.4	0.5	69	TOP OVER	+0.9	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Carson Benge	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Daniel Schneemann	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Dylan Crews	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Ezequiel Duran	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	George Springer	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Griffin Conine ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	J.t. Realmuto	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jackson Chourio	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jj Bleday	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jonny Deluca ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Josh Bell	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Juan Soto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kevin Mcgonigle	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Kyle Manzardo	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Lane Thomas	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
	Pete Alonso	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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