Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

1D 7D 14D 30D |

← Jun 13 – Jun 26 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

39.2%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1269

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.5 • 100

Top Under

Kyle Schwarber

HR • -1.3 • 92

Top Fade

Bo Bichette

HR • -0.6 • 62

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.9 | Edge: +2.5

Top 2

Dansby Swanson

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.2

Top 3

Brandon Marsh

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.3 | Edge: +2.2

Top 4

Daulton Varsho

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 97 | Trend: +1.2 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.3

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Trevor Larnach ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.2	1.3	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.2	1.0	68	UNDER	-0.2	-1.0	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Freddy Fermin ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.3	0.5	68	TOP UNDER	-0.3	-0.5	Down trend plus supportive under value.
Brandon Marsh	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.7	0.9	0.5	67	OVER	+0.8	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Bobby Witt Jr. ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ CWS	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Derek Hill	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Francisco Alvarez	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Francisco Lindor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ MIN	RBI	1.3	0.5	0.5	66	TOP OVER	+0.8	+0.8	Up trend plus supportive prop value.
Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ MIL	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CLE	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TEX @ TOR	RBI	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Freeman	3/3	COL @ MIN	H	1.7	1.0	0.5	65	OVER	+0.7	+1.2	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Alec Bohm	3/3	PHI @ NYM	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Alec Burleson	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Brice Turang	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Christian Yelich ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Corbin Carroll	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Elly De La Cruz	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gabriel Moreno	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Garrett Mitchell	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Gavin Sheets	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Geraldo Perdomo	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Ivan Herrera	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jackson Merrill	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jake Mccarthy	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jakob Marsee	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jarren Duran ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jesus Sanchez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Jonathan Aranda	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Julio Rodriguez	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kerry Carpenter	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Higashioka ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Kyle Tucker ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Logan O'hoppe	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Matt Shaw	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Michael Massey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Nick Gonzales	3/3	CIN @ PIT	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.
Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.1	1.3	63	UNDER	-0.1	-1.3	Recent drop in a volatile stat with under support.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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