Top Plays

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Top Plays Record

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← Jun 27 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

40%

Pending

Date

Sport

Short Window

Baseline

Min Trend Delta

Min Line Edge

Signal

Metric

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Methodology: Top Plays is the cross-reference layer between Trend Plays and Prop Plays. It compares real-stat momentum against current market pricing to surface the best aligned over and under setups.

Trend Delta = short-window real average minus baseline real average.
Line Edge = recent real average minus grouped prop line.
Confidence blends trend strength, line value, and signal alignment into a 0–100 score.

Visible Top Plays

1347

MLB

Top Over

Junior Caminero

RBI • +2.3 • 100

Top Under

Jac Caglianone

HR • -1.1 • 97

Top Fade

Bobby Witt Jr.

HR • -0.8 • 54

Top 1

Junior Caminero

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 100 | Trend: +1.6 | Edge: +2.3

Top 2

Miguel Vargas

RBI • TOP OVER
Conf: 99 | Trend: +1.4 | Edge: +1.4

Top 3

Jac Caglianone

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 97 | Trend: -0.6 | Edge: -1.1

Top 4

Freddie Freeman

H • TOP OVER
Conf: 93 | Trend: +1.0 | Edge: +1.5

Top 5

Kyle Schwarber

HR • TOP UNDER
Conf: 92 | Trend: -0.5 | Edge: -1.1

Player	Active	Matchup	Metric	Recent Avg	Baseline Avg	Line	Confidence	Signal	Trend Delta	Line Edge	Why
Brice Matthews	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Ceddanne Rafaela	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Chandler Simpson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Chase Meidroth	3/3	KC @ CWS	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Dominic Smith	3/3	ATL @ SF	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Hao-yu Lee	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
J.p. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ CLE	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jacob Young	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Jake Meyers	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Josh Jung ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Masataka Yoshida ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nico Hoerner	3/3	CHC @ MIL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Nolan Arenado	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Richie Palacios	3/3	AZ @ TB	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Samad Taylor	3/3	LAD @ SD	RBI	1.0	0.3	0.7	38	OVER	+0.7	+0.3	Positive trend with market support still in place.
Tristan Gray	3/3	COL @ MIN	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Wade Meckler	3/3	OAK @ LAA	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xander Bogaerts	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Xavier Edwards	3/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Zach Mckinstry	3/3	HOU @ DET	HR	0.0	0.0	1.0	38	WATCH	0.0	-1.0	Market and trend are not fully aligned yet.
Anthony Volpe	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cam Smith	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ BOS	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Cooper Pratt	3/3	CHC @ MIL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Eric Haase ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ SF	H	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jordan Walker	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Justin Crawford	3/3	PHI @ NYM	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Lars Nootbaar	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ SF	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Nathan Church	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Pavin Smith ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Richie Palacios	3/3	AZ @ TB	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Spencer Torkelson	3/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Taylor Ward	3/3	WSH @ BAL	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Tyler Soderstrom	3/3	OAK @ LAA	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Yordan Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ DET	RBI	0.0	0.2	0.7	38	UNDER	-0.2	-0.7	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Dalton Rushing	3/3	LAD @ SD	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Jimmy Crooks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ STL	HR	0.0	0.0	0.8	38	WATCH	0.0	-0.8	Both trend delta and line edge are still small.
Curtis Mead	3/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.4	1.1	38	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	TEX @ TOR	HR	0.7	0.4	1.1	38	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Luis Garcia Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ BAL	HR	0.7	0.4	1.1	38	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Paul Goldschmidt	3/3	NYY @ BOS	HR	0.7	0.4	1.1	38	FADE OVER	+0.3	-0.4	Trend is up, but the line may already be inflated.
Leody Taveras	3/3	WSH @ BAL	H	0.3	0.8	0.8	37	UNDER	-0.5	-0.5	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Drake Baldwin	3/3	ATL @ SF	H	0.0	0.3	0.6	37	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.
Jj Wetherholt	3/3	MIA @ STL	RBI	0.0	0.3	0.6	37	UNDER	-0.3	-0.6	Negative trend with market support still in place.

* Lines averaged from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. DraftKings and FanDuel set the market — they move first and everyone else follows. BetMGM is large enough to occasionally have a different number, which helps the average.

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